Michael Mauboussin has written a heap of great work over the years. I especially like his thoughts on skill and luck and the role they play in all aspects of our life. He presents a simple question to determine the role of skill and luck in an activity. Ask the… Continue Reading Luck and Skill – How can I lose on purpose?

Getswift (GSW) is a hot topic and is polarising. You believe or you do not. Nothing breeds passionate opinions like having your money on the line, probably the only thing more motivating to defend this opinion is having your ego attached. No one wants to be wrong, right? If you… Continue Reading What fact(s) would change your opinion? – Getswift

I am reluctant to add to the property debate in Australia, multiple tomes have been written on it. People attach the same fervour to talking about property as they do religion and politics. I like to keep my identity small on these things so I will offer a limited view.… Continue Reading Oz Property – Keep dancing Chucky Prince style

I was asked by a reader if I had an opinion on Nearmap (NEA), specifically the Group Portfolio Lifetime Value (LTV) which NEA calculates as $365.5m at the end of FY2017, see bottom line in their financial presentation. When you consider the market cap is around $260m maybe there is… Continue Reading Nearmap (NEA) – Reviewing their LTV calculation

Afterpay’s (APT) business model is pretty simple.  APT assumes the role of the credit provider and buys from the merchant the credit risk of the merchants paying customers. The merchant pays APT 4.2% of the transaction for this. Merchants love it as they receive their money upfront and in a credit… Continue Reading Afterpay Touch (APT) – Looking through the credit cycle